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Final round margin of victory in the NYC Democratic Mayoral primary? Odds & Predictions 2025
Politics
Final round margin of victory in the NYC Democratic Mayoral primary?
Politics
Final round margin of victory in the NYC Democratic Mayoral primary?
3-5.99% for Zohran Mamdani
No
3-5.99% for Zohran Mamdani
No
6-8.99% for Zohran Mamdani
No
6-8.99% for Zohran Mamdani
No
9% or more for Zohran Mamdani
Yes
9% or more for Zohran Mamdani
Yes
5 more
Market Rules
9% or more for Andrew Cuomo
The outcome is 12.80%
Resolves Yes if
the popular vote margin of victory is 9% or more for Andrew Cuomo in the 2025 NYC Democratic mayoral primary
.
Outcome verified from
The New York Times
,
New York Post
,
the Associated Press
, and
Reuters
.
This will be the margin based on certified ranked choice voting results after all eliminations.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 24, 2025 · 7:00pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 22, 2025 at 11:12pm EDT.
Series
KXNYCLASTROUNDMARGIN
Event
KXNYCLASTROUNDMARGIN-25
Market
KXNYCLASTROUNDMARGIN-25-ACUO-T9
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.