OpenAI board members leaving 2023? Odds & Predictions
OpenAI board members leaving before 2024?
OpenAI board members leaving before 2024?
Helen Toner
Yes
Helen Toner
Yes
Tasha McCauley
Yes
Tasha McCauley
Yes
Ilya Sutskever
Yes
Ilya Sutskever
Yes
Adam D’Angelo
No
Adam D’Angelo
No
Market Rules
Helen Toner
The outcome is Leave
If Helen Toner is announced to be leaving OpenAI's Board of Directors before 2024, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from OpenAI and Bloomberg.
It is sufficient for an announcement to satisfy the Payout Criterion by announcing such a move even if the change will only officially occur following <date>
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 20, 2023 · 7:05pm EST
Market closedNov 22, 2023 · 10:22am EST
Paid outDec 31, 2023 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXOPENAIBOARD
EventOPENAIBOARD-23
MarketOPENAIBOARD-23-L-HT
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
OpenAI's board of directors have been in the hot seat since the sudden ousting of board members Sam Altman (co-founder and CEO) and Greg Brockman. Even the supposed instigator of the coup d'etat, board member Ilya Sustkever, has signed onto a letter signed by nearly all of OpenAI's employees demanding that the board resign. The current board members of OpenAI are Bret Taylor, Larry Summers, and Adam D'Angelo. Bret Taylor is the board chair and is a former co-CEO of Salesforce, Larry Summers is an economist and served as Treasury secretary during the Clinton administration and Adam D'Angelo is the CEO of Quora, a question-and-answer platform.