OpenAI new CEO by December 2024? Odds & Predictions
OpenAI new CEO by December 2024?
OpenAI new CEO by December 2024?
Sam Altman
Yes
Sam Altman
Yes
Mira Murati
No
Mira Murati
No
Emmett Shear
No
Emmett Shear
No
Kyle Vogt
No
Kyle Vogt
No
Market Rules
Sam Altman
The outcome is Yes
If Sam Altman is announced as the next permanent CEO of OpenAI by Dec 31, 2024, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from OpenAI.
Interim, acting, or temporary CEOs do not qualify. If there are multiple CEOs, then both persons would satisfy the Payout Criterion. It is sufficient if an announcement is made that <person> will become CEO of OpenAI, including after <date>.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 20, 2023 · 4:45pm EST
Market closedNov 22, 2023 · 10:13am EST
Paid outDec 31, 2024 · 11:00am EST
SeriesKXOPENAICEO
EventOPENAICEO-24
MarketOPENAICEO-24-SA
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
OpenAI's board ousted Sam Altman, the cofounder and CEO of the company, on November 17th. Mira Murati, OpenAI's CTO, was named interim CEO as the board looked for a longer term leader. On Sunday, November 20th, OpenAI's board named Emmet Shear as a new interim CEO, many suspect due to Mira siding with Sam and Greg (OpenAI's president who quit on Friday) on calling for the leadership team to be reinstated and for the board to resign. Who do you think will be the permanent CEO of the AI trailblazer?