Jobs numbers in September 2025? Odds & Predictions
Jobs numbers in September 2025?
Jobs numbers in September 2025?
Above -100,000
Yes
Above -100,000
Yes
Above 0
Yes
Above 0
Yes
Above 25,000
Yes
Above 25,000
Yes
4 more
Market Rules
Above -100,000
The outcome is 119,000
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above -100000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of September 2025, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from BLS.
The market closes at 8:29 AM ET on the expected date of the data release.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openAug 22, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedOct 3, 2025 · 8:29am EDT
Paid outOct 3, 2025 · 10:05am EDT
SeriesKXPAYROLLS
EventKXPAYROLLS-25SEP
MarketKXPAYROLLS-25SEP-T-100000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) releases a monthly jobs report, which provides a comprehensive snapshot of nonfarm employment in the US. The report includes data on the number of jobs added and the unemployment rate. Recent reports have shown significant job growth, with 272,000 jobs added in May and an unemployment rate of 4%. This data is closely watched by the Federal Reserve, which is currently seeking to curb inflation and is looking for signs of moderation in the labor market.