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Will Zohran Mamdani win at least 50% of the vote in the NYC Mayoral Election? Odds & Predictions 2026
Elections
Will Zohran Mamdani win at least 50% of the vote in the NYC Mayoral Election?
Elections
Will Zohran Mamdani win at least 50% of the vote in the NYC Mayoral Election?
50% or more
Yes
50% or more
Yes
Important information:
Settlement occurs only after results are officially certified.
Market Rules
50% or more
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if
Zohran Mamdani wins 50% or more of the vote in the NYC Mayoral Election in 2025
.
Outcome verified from
Board of Elections in the City of New York
.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jul 16, 2025 · 12:00pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 2, 2025 at 3:56pm EST.
Series
KXPCTVOTEMAM
Event
KXPCTVOTEMAM-26
Market
KXPCTVOTEMAM-26-ZMAM-T50
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event
$2,750,377 vol