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Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035? Odds & Predictions
Politics
·
Local
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Politics
·
Local
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
$2,584 vol
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
If any U.S. state experiences a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
relevant national statistical office or census bureau for geography
,
the World Bank
,
the United Nations Population Division
,
the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development
,
Reuters
,
Bloomberg News
,
the Associated Press
,
The New York Times
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
, and
BBC News
.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Aug 13, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 30, 2036 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXPOPCHANGESTATE10
Event
KXPOPCHANGESTATE10-35
Market
KXPOPCHANGESTATE10-35
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.