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Who will be the Portuguese Prime Minister after their election?


2025
Chance
$7,818vol

Luís Montenegro
Social Democratic Party
80%

Pedro Nuno Santos
Socialist Party
37%
▲ 9

André Ventura
Chega
<1%

5 more markets

Rules summary for
Luís Montenegro
If a member of Social Democratic Party is the first non-caretaker Prime Minister sworn in as Prime Minister of Portugal following the election in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico EU.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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Who will be the Portuguese Prime Minister after their election?
Buy Yes · Luís MontenegroSocial Democratic Party
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Payout if Yes wins
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