Who will be the Portuguese Prime Minister after their election?
2025
Chance
$7,818vol
Luís Montenegro
Social Democratic Party
80%
Luís Montenegro
Social Democratic Party
80%
Pedro Nuno Santos
Socialist Party
37%
▲ 9
Pedro Nuno Santos
Socialist Party
37%
▲ 9
André Ventura
Chega
<1%
André Ventura
Chega
<1%
5 more markets
Rules summary for
Luís Montenegro
If a member of Social Democratic Party is the first non-caretaker Prime Minister sworn in as Prime Minister of Portugal following the election in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico EU.