Who will win over 18% of the vote in the 1st round of the Portuguese presidential election?
Who will win over 18% of the vote in the 1st round of the Portuguese presidential election?
André Ventura
CH
Yes
André Ventura
CH
Yes
António José Seguro
PS
Yes
António José Seguro
PS
Yes
Luís Marques Mendes
PSD
No
Luís Marques Mendes
PSD
No
2 more
Market Rules
André Ventura
Resolves Yes if André Ventura receives above 18% of the vote in first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election.Outcome verified from the official electoral commission.
Vote share is calculated as (votes for person/party)/(total valid votes cast). Only certified official results count. Invalid or spoiled ballots are excluded. If a candidate withdraws after ballots are finalized but still appears on the ballot, votes for them still count. Elections postponed beyond the deadline result in No resolution. Preliminary counts that are later corrected don't count unless no final certified figure is published before the deadline.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 9, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXPORTUGALPRESROUND1
EventKXPORTUGALPRESROUND1-26JAN18
MarketKXPORTUGALPRESROUND1-26JAN18-AVEN
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