Who will win the 2025 Irish election?

Bertie Ahern 40%

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is the first regulated platform in the US where you can trade on events, just like stocks. Think of it as the NYSE, but for things you relate to, care about, and understand.

The 2025 election

% Chance

Bertie Ahern

40%

Bertie Ahern

40%

Mairead McGuinness

15%

Mairead McGuinness

15%

Frances Fitzgerald

15%

Frances Fitzgerald

15%

3 more markets

Rules summary for

Bertie Ahern

If Bertie Ahern wins the 2025 Irish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Politico.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

People are also betting

Who will win the Wisconsin Supreme Court seat?

66% chance

· Susan Crawford

What share of the vote will the SPD get in the German election?

59% chance

· 15% to 19.9%

Will Trump v Selzer lawsuit be dismissed before July?