Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?

Gavin Newsom 13%

Josh Shapiro 12%

Wes Moore 9%

Live bets: Kalshi.com

ALL

2028

% Chance

$1,215,123vol

Gavin Newsom

13%

Gavin Newsom

13%

Josh Shapiro

12%

Josh Shapiro

12%

Wes Moore

More markets

Rules summary for

Gavin Newsom

If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Democratic Party.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Trading prohibitions

People are also betting

What will Trump say in his speech about the State of the Union today?

51% chance

· LA / Los Angeles

Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?

45% chance

· J.D. Vance

Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?

70% chance