Maine Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place Odds & Predictions 2026
Maine Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place
Maine Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place
Chance
Nirav Shah
39%
Nirav Shah
39%
Shenna Bellows
14%
▼ 28
Shenna Bellows
14%
▼ 28
Hannah Pingree
10%
Hannah Pingree
10%
Troy Jackson
10%
Troy Jackson
10%
Market Rules
Nirav Shah
If Nirav Shah finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Maine Secretary of State.
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 10, 2026 · 11:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 11, 2027 at 10:00am EDT.
SeriesKXPRIMARYPLACE
EventKXPRIMARYPLACE-GOVMENOMD26-2
MarketKXPRIMARYPLACE-GOVMENOMD26-2-NSHA
Insider trading is prohibited
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event