Maine Democratic Governor primary: 3rd place Odds & Predictions 2026
Maine Democratic Governor primary: 3rd place
Maine Democratic Governor primary: 3rd place
Chance
Troy Jackson
50%
▲ 24
Troy Jackson
50%
▲ 24
Hannah Pingree
21%
▼ 1
Hannah Pingree
21%
▼ 1
Nirav Shah
20%
Nirav Shah
20%
Shenna Bellows
20%
▼ 16
Shenna Bellows
20%
▼ 16
Market Rules
Troy Jackson
If Troy Jackson finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary according to the certified results, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Maine Secretary of State.
Ranking is determined by the specified counting method:
For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place)
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 10, 2026 · 11:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if certified election results are published. Otherwise, it closes by Jun 9, 2027 at 10:00am EDT.
SeriesKXPRIMARYPLACE
EventKXPRIMARYPLACE-GOVMENOMD26-3
MarketKXPRIMARYPLACE-GOVMENOMD26-3-TJAC
Insider trading is prohibited
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event