Prime Day 2026 U.S. online spend
Prime Day 2026 U.S. online spend
Begins in 8 days · Jun 27, 7:00am EDT
Chance
At least $24 billion
79%
▲ 21
At least $24 billion
79%
▲ 21
At least $26 billion
73%
▲ 26
At least $26 billion
73%
▲ 26
At least $28 billion
32%
▼ 1
At least $28 billion
32%
▼ 1
5 more
Market Rules
At least $20 billion
Resolves Yes if Adobe Analytics reports that the U.S. online spend across retailers for the Prime Day 2026 event, from June 23, 2026 through June 26, 2026 is at least $20 billion.Outcome verified from Adobe Analytics.
The Underlying is the Adobe Analytics’ post-event report or public statement regarding U.S. online spend during the Prime Day 2026 event. This figure refers to total U.S. e-commerce spend across U.S. retailers during the event period, not Amazon-only sales.
If Adobe publishes multiple figures, the relevant figure will be the total U.S. online spend across U.S. retailers for the full Prime Day 2026 event period. Later revisions, corrections, or subsequent estimates will not be considered.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 18, 2026 · 4:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXPRIMESPEND
EventKXPRIMESPEND-26JUN27
MarketKXPRIMESPEND-26JUN27-T20
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.