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When will Qatar resume LNG production? Odds & Predictions 2026
Economics
When will Qatar resume LNG production?
Economics
When will Qatar resume LNG production?
Before May 2026
Yes
Before May 2026
Yes
Before April 2026
No
Before April 2026
No
Market Rules
Before May 2026
The outcome is Yes
If any Source Agency explicitly confirms that LNG liquefaction at Qatar’s Ras Laffan Industrial City has resumed (i.e., Qatar/QatarEnergy has restarted LNG production trains) before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
AP
,
Bloomberg
,
Reuters
,
The New York Times
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC News
,
CBS News
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
, and
NBC News
.
Statements that LNG is “expected to,” “planned to,” or “could” restart do not qualify.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Mar 18, 2026 · 8:00pm EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Apr 9, 2026 at 1:32pm EDT.
Series
KXQATARLNGPROD
Event
KXQATARLNGPROD-26MAR
Market
KXQATARLNGPROD-26MAR-MAY
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$68,155 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL