Reconciliation size by Nov 14, 2021? Odds & Predictions
Reconciliation size by Nov 14, 2021?
Reconciliation size by Nov 14, 2021?
Above $2.5 trillion
No
Above $2.5 trillion
No
Above $1.5 trillion
No
Above $1.5 trillion
No
Market Rules
Above $2.5 trillion
The outcome is No such bill became law
If Congress.gov contains documentation of a Bill that “became law” after the date of Issuance and before November 14, 2021 and contains reconciliation instructions; and that Bill's most recent estimated ten-year spending outlays according to the CBO are greater than $2.5 trillion, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress and Congressional Budget Office.
Please see RECSZ in the Rulebook for such details.
Such Bills typically begin with the phrase: “To provide for reconciliation pursuant to..."
Timeline and payout
Market openSep 26, 2021 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedNov 16, 2021 · 10:00am EST
Paid outNov 16, 2021 · 10:00am EST
SeriesKXRECLAW
EventRECLAW-21NOV14
MarketRECLAW-21NOV14-T2.5
Insider trading is prohibited
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