What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 73%
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals 24%
Not nine justices 3%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Jan 20, 2029
Chance
$10,783vol
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
73%
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
73%
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
24%
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
24%
Not nine justices
3%
▲ 2
Not nine justices
3%
▲ 2
2 more markets
Rules summary for
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
If there are not nine justices at the time of Expiration, then that strike will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.Note: this event is mutually exclusive.