Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump's Secretary of Transportation?
Who will be Trump's Secretary of Transportation?
Market Rules
Sean Duffy
The outcome is Sean Duffy
If Sean Duffy is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Secretary of Transportation between November 6, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 18, 2024 · 7:15pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 29, 2025 at 5:39pm EST.
SeriesKXSECTRANS
EventKXSECTRANS-26DEC31
MarketKXSECTRANS-26DEC31-SD
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About
The Secretary of Transportation oversees the nation’s transportation systems, managing highways, aviation, railroads, maritime transport, and public transit while enforcing safety standards and supporting infrastructure projects. The role also involves collaboration on emissions regulations and state funding. President-elect Trump has nominated Sean Duffy for this position, pending Senate confirmation. (Source: Masterclass.com)
Who will be Trump's Secretary of Transportation? Odds & Predictions 2026