Government shutdown this year?
Government shutdown this year?
$338,338 vol
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Yes
If the US government shuts down between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Office of Personnel Management.
A government shutdown is considered ongoing if the U.S. Office of Personnel Management includes a notice that the federal government is at least partially shut down at any 10:00 AM ET during the period. Notices of a lapse in appropriations resulting in emergency furloughs or impacted government operations are encompassed in the Payout Criterion. Notices of office closures due to holidays or inclement weather are not encompassed in the Payout Criterion.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 9, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
SeriesKXSHUTDOWNBY
EventKXSHUTDOWNBY-26DEC31
MarketKXSHUTDOWNBY-26DEC31
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
The U.S. government is facing a potential shutdown due to a September 30 deadline to pass appropriations bills to fund the government. If a shutdown occurs, non-essential federal functions will be suspended, affecting systems like health programs, Social Security, and the Food and Drug Administration. All employees, both those who stop working and those deemed "excepted," will not receive pay during the shutdown, with paychecks resuming once operations restart. Historically, government shutdowns have had a limited impact on the economy and financial markets. The longest shutdown lasted 35 days from December 2018 to January 2019, during which the S&P 500 dropped 2% but gained 18.9% in the following 12 months.