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Will Starlink get an FAA contract this year?

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chance
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Mar 25Apr 6Apr 17Apr 29May 1330%37.5%45%52.5%60%
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ALL

2025
$3,709vol

Order book


Rules summary
If the Federal Aviation Authority (“FAA”) has awarded any new contract to Starlink before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

Timeline and payout

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Will Starlink get an FAA contract this year?
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Average price
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Payout if Yes wins
$0