Will there be a crewed Starship flight this year?

$5,973 vol

Market Rules

The outcome is No

If SpaceX's Starship has launched a crewed mission before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from NASA, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and SpaceX.

Timeline and payout

Market openJun 4, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 30, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.

SeriesKXSTARSHIPCREW

EventKXSTARSHIPCREW-25

MarketKXSTARSHIPCREW-25-DEC31

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