Series Image

Will Trump launch tariffs on EU alcohol?

Before May 2025 11%
Before Jun 2025 19%
Before Dec 2025 40%
Mar 24Mar 30Apr 4Apr 9Apr 150%25%50%75%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

2025
Chance
$6,589vol

Before May 2025
--%

Before Jun 2025
19%
▼ 1

Before Dec 2025
40%

1 more markets

Rules summary for
Before Jun 2025
If the President imposes any new (or raised) tariffs before Jun 1, 2025 on European Union alcohol, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.
Global tariffs (tariffs on all imports into the United States) will not affect the value of this market, which is only about country/bloc-specific tariffs.

Timeline and payout

Series Image
Will Trump launch tariffs on EU alcohol?
Buy Yes · Before Jun 2025
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Average price
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Payout if Yes wins
$0