Will Trump halve the trade deficit?
Will Trump halve the trade deficit?
Halved
Yes
Halved
Yes
Market Rules
Halved
Resolves Yes if the trade deficit falls below 42,180,000,000 in any month before Feb 28, 2029.Outcome verified from FRED.
The source data is the U.S. Census Bureau's monthly trade deficit updates.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 28, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXTDEFICITHALF
EventKXTDEFICITHALF-29
MarketKXTDEFICITHALF-29
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