Important information: To be clear, resolution will be based on the runner-up coding model within the Text Arena coding subcategory.
Runner-Up Coding AI this week
Runner-Up Coding AI this week
ChatGPT
Yes
ChatGPT
Yes
Claude
No
Claude
No
Gemini
No
Gemini
No
5 more
Market Rules
ChatGPT
Resolves Yes if ChatGPT is the Runner-Up coding model on LM Text Arena on Mar 14, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control).
For the purpose of this market, "Runner-Up" is defined as the highest-ranked AI model whose developer is different from the #1 ranked model. If two models are tied as Runner-Up, then the model with the highest Arena Score will resolve to Yes. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will resolve to Yes. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will resolve to Yes.
Important information: To be clear, resolution will be based on the runner-up coding model within the Text Arena coding subcategory.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 10, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXTECHRANKLISTAI2
EventKXTECHRANKLISTAI2-26MAR14
MarketKXTECHRANKLISTAI2-26MAR14-CHAT
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
ChatGPT
Odds
0% chanceMax payout