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Will Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain this year?
9
8
7
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5
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2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
▲
9
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1
0
0
Feb 18
Feb 23
Feb 28
Mar 6
Mar 12
12%
16%
20%
24%
28%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026
$6,979
vol
Order book
Order book
Rules summary
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If Treasury intiates any transactions on the blockchain before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
View full rules
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Will Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain this year?
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