Trump's 538 favorability on Jan 16, 2025?
Trump's 538 favorability on Jan 16, 2025?
46.4% to 46.6%
No
46.4% to 46.6%
No
46.7% to 46.9%
Yes
46.7% to 46.9%
Yes
47% to 47.2%
No
47% to 47.2%
No
6 more
Market Rules
45.7% or below
Resolves Yes if Donald Trump's rating according to FiveThirtyEight is below 45.8% on January 16, 2025.Outcome verified from FiveThirtyEight.
The market will close at 11:59 PM ET on January 16, 2025. The market will expire at the sooner of the 10:00 AM on the first day after January 16, 2025 in which data is available for January 16, 2025, or one week after January 16, 2025.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 9, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closedJan 16, 2025 · 11:59pm EST
Paid outJan 17, 2025 · 10:30am EST
SeriesKXTRUMPFAV
EventKXTRUMPFAV-25JAN16
MarketKXTRUMPFAV-25JAN16-T45.8
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.