How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
How many rallies will Trump hold before the midterms?
Chance
Above 25
59%
Above 25
59%
Above 30
45%
Above 30
45%
Above 35
38%
Above 35
38%
3 more
Market Rules
Above 15
Resolves Yes if the number of Trump rallies is above 15 from January 1 to November 3, 2026.Outcome verified from Donald Trump.
A Trump rally is a public, in-person political event organized around a rally-style address by Donald J. Trump, typically preceded by guest speakers, held at a large venue, and open to attendees via free registration. Examples in 2026 include the rallies on 1/27 (Clive, IA), 2/19 (Rome, GA), 2/27 (Corpus Christi, TX), 3/11 (Hebron, KY), 4/17 (Phoenix, AZ), 5/1 (The Villages, FL), and 5/22 (Suffern, NY).
As of 5/27/26, the count is 7.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 27, 2026 · 4:30pm EDT
Market closesNov 3, 2026 · 9:59am EST
Projected payoutFeb 1, 2027 · 10:30am EST
SeriesKXTRUMPRALLIES
EventKXTRUMPRALLIES-26NOV03
MarketKXTRUMPRALLIES-26NOV03-A15
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