Unemployment in October
Unemployment in October
Begins in 149 days · Nov 6, 8:00am EST
Chance
Above 4.2%
65%
▲ 14
Above 4.2%
65%
▲ 14
Above 4.3%
51%
▼ 6
Above 4.3%
51%
▼ 6
Above 4.4%
34%
▼ 15
Above 4.4%
34%
▼ 15
11 more
Market Rules
Above 3.7%
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.7% in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 9, 2026 · 2:40pm EDT
Market closesNov 6, 2026 · 8:29am EST
Projected payoutNov 6, 2026 · 10:05am EST
SeriesKXU3
EventKXU3-26OCT
MarketKXU3-26OCT-T3.7
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
Unemployment represents the number of people who are willing and able to work but cannot find employment. It's a critical economic indicator, reflecting the health of the job market and the well-being of individuals and communities. Fun fact: The term 'unemployment' was first coined in the 19th century during the Industrial Revolution.