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How high will unemployment get in 2026? Odds & Predictions
Economics
·
Jobs & Economy
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Economics
·
Jobs & Economy
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Begins in
193 days
·
Jan 8, 8:30am EST
Chance
Above 4.8%
69%
Yes
69¢
No
99¢
Above 4.8%
69%
Yes
69¢
No
99¢
Above 5%
29%
▲ 12
Yes
29¢
No
77¢
Above 5%
29%
▲ 12
Yes
29¢
No
77¢
Above 5.5%
22%
Yes
22¢
No
99¢
Above 5.5%
22%
Yes
22¢
No
99¢
11 more
Market Rules
Above 4.5%
Resolves Yes if
any U.S. seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate for a month in 2026 is above 4.5%
.
Outcome verified from
Bureau of Labor Statistics
.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 22, 2026 · 3:30pm EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
1 hour after closing
This market will close and expire if a threshold is hit. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 8, 2027 at 8:25am EST.
Series
KXU3MAX
Event
KXU3MAX-27
Market
KXU3MAX-27-4.5
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Above 4.5%
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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