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How high will unemployment get in 2026? Odds & Predictions
Economics
·
Jobs & Economy
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Economics
·
Jobs & Economy
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Begins in
213 days
·
Jan 8, 8:30am EST
Chance
Above 5%
17%
â–¼ 8.9
Yes
Â
20¢
No
Â
83.8¢
Above 5%
17%
â–¼ 8.9
Yes
Â
20¢
No
Â
83.8¢
Above 6%
12.9%
â–² 2.3
Yes
Â
12.5¢
No
Â
94.9¢
Above 6%
12.9%
â–² 2.3
Yes
Â
12.5¢
No
Â
94.9¢
Above 7%
10%
â–² 4
Yes
Â
8.8¢
No
Â
96.9¢
Above 7%
10%
â–² 4
Yes
Â
8.8¢
No
Â
96.9¢
7 more
Market Rules
Above 5%
If the U-3 unemployment rate from 2026 is above 5%, the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
Bureau of Labor Statistics
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jan 5, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
1 hour after closing
This market will close and expire if a threshold is hit. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 8, 2027 at 8:25am EST.
Series
KXU3MAX
Event
KXU3MAX-27
Market
KXU3MAX-27-5
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.