Will Ukraine join NATO before November 2025?

$2,864 vol

Order book

No

Before Nov 2025

The outcome is No

Resolves Yes if Ukraine agreed to, signed, or accepted North Atlantic Treaty Organization before Nov 1, 2025.Outcome verified from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

An agreement also made with other countries (i.e. multilaterally) is still encompassed if Ukraine participates. North Atlantic Treaty Organization

Timeline and payout

Market openAug 10, 2025 · 6:00pm EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 1, 2025 at 10:00am EDT.

SeriesKXUKRAINE

EventKXUKRAINE-25

MarketKXUKRAINE-25

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.

Dollars

Odds

0% chance

Max payout