US test scores in Reading this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
US test scores in Reading this year?
US test scores in Reading this year?
Chance
Significant decrease
55%
▼ 1
Significant decrease
55%
▼ 1
No significant difference
32%
No significant difference
32%
Significant increase
15%
Significant increase
15%
Market Rules
Significant decrease
If US average test scores for eighth graders experienced Significant decrease in 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Nation's Report Card.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 31, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
If this data is released, then the market will resolve the following 10:00 AM ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXUSTESTSREADING
EventKXUSTESTSREADING-26
MarketKXUSTESTSREADING-26-SD
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About
The National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP), established in 1969, is the largest continuing national assessment of student knowledge and abilities in subjects such as mathematics, reading, science, and writing. The results, known as The Nation's Report Card, are used by educators, policymakers, and researchers to assess educational progress and develop improvement strategies. Administered by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) under the U.S. Department of Education, NAEP provides a standardized measure of student achievement across the nation, states, and some urban districts.