Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day? Odds & Predictions 2025
Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day?
Will SCOTUS bar counting mail ballots received after Election Day?
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
Resolves Yes ifthe Supreme Court, in Watson v. Republican National Committee, rules before Aug 1, 2026 that the federal election-day statutes preempt a state law that allows ballots cast by federal Election Day to be received (and counted) after Election Day.Outcome verified from Supreme Court.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 26, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Aug 1, 2026 at 10:00am EDT.
SeriesKXWATSONRNC
EventKXWATSONRNC
MarketKXWATSONRNC
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.