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Will Trump be banned on X this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
Politics
Will Trump be banned on X this year?
Politics
Will Trump be banned on X this year?
$17,176 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If Trump @realdonaldtrump is banned on X (even temporarily) before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
Barchart
,
Elon Musk
,
New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
, and
Semafor
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 7, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXXBANNEDRDT
Event
KXXBANNEDRDT-26
Market
KXXBANNEDRDT-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.