Popular vote margin of victory in Florida?
Popular vote margin of victory in Florida?
Trump by 9-11.99%
No
Trump by 9-11.99%
No
Trump by 12-14.99%
Yes
Trump by 12-14.99%
Yes
Trump by 15% or more
No
Trump by 15% or more
No
6 more
Market Rules
Harris by 6% or more
Resolves Yes if the popular vote margin of victory in Florida is above 5.99% for Kamala Harris or another representative of the Democratic party in the 2024 election.Outcome verified from United States Congress.
If a candidate has won but has a margin that rounds to 0.00 (for example, winning by one vote), then that would resolve the bracket that has the winning candidate 0.00-0.49% as Yes.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 28, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 minute after closing
SeriesPOPVOTEMOVFL
EventPOPVOTEMOVFL-2024
MarketPOPVOTEMOVFL-2024-D-T5.99
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on Presidential campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Presidential campaigns.
- Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
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