Cy Young Odds 2026
Kalshi's markets on the 2026 Cy Young award, one for each league. Cam Schlittler leads the AL at 100%, and Jacob Misiorowski leads the NL at 100%.
2026 · Live marketUpdated today at 2:20 AM ET
Where these odds come from: Each percentage is the price of that candidate's Kalshi contract: the midpoint of the order book where it is tight, otherwise the last trade. A contract with a result shows 100% for Yes and 0% for No. Prices are not a Kalshi forecast.
American LeagueCam Schlittler leads at 100%, ahead of Aroldis Chapman at <1%, from 42 priced candidates. Top 15 of 42 priced candidates. 7d is the move in percentage points over the last seven days.
2026 AL Cy Young odds
| Contender | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
Cam Schlittler | 100% | +2pp | Trade |
Aroldis Chapman | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Brayan Bello | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Bryan Woo | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Bryce Miller | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Carlos Rodon | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Casey Mize | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Cole Ragans | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Drew Rasmussen | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Dylan Cease | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Garrett Crochet | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Gavin Williams | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
George Kirby | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Gerrit Cole | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Grayson Rodriguez | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
National LeagueJacob Misiorowski leads at 100%, ahead of Aaron Nola at <1%, from 46 priced candidates. Top 15 of 46 priced candidates. 7d is the move in percentage points over the last seven days.
2026 NL Cy Young odds
| Contender | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
Jacob Misiorowski | 100% | +3pp | Trade |
Aaron Nola | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Andrew Abbott | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Blake Snell | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Brady Singer | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Brandon Woodruff | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Bryce Elder | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Bubba Chandler | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Cade Horton | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Chase Burns | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Chris Sale | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Cristopher Sanchez | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
David Peterson | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Edward Cabrera | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Eury Perez | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Method
How Cy Young odds work
The Cy Young Award goes to each league's best pitcher. In each league, 30 members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, two from each of the league's cities, vote at the end of the regular season, before the postseason starts, and the winners are announced in November.
Every row is a contract on Kalshi. Yes pays $1 if that candidate wins the award and No pays $1 if they do not, so the price of Yes in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent. Each contract is priced on its own, so the column can add up to a little more or less than 100%.
The 7d column is how far that price has moved in the last seven days, in percentage points.
FAQ
Cy Young odds questions
Who is the favorite for the 2026 AL Cy Young?
Cam Schlittler leads at 100% on Kalshi, ahead of Aroldis Chapman at <1%. That is the market price of the contract, not a Kalshi forecast.
Who is the favorite for the 2026 NL Cy Young?
Jacob Misiorowski leads at 100% on Kalshi, ahead of Aaron Nola at <1%. That is the market price of the contract, not a Kalshi forecast.
Who won the 2025 AL Cy Young?
Tarik Skubal, as Kalshi's settled 2025 market recorded it.
Who won the 2025 NL Cy Young?
Paul Skenes, as Kalshi's settled 2025 market recorded it.
How is the Cy Young decided?
The Cy Young Award goes to each league's best pitcher. In each league, 30 members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, two from each of the league's cities, vote at the end of the regular season, before the postseason starts, and the winners are announced in November.
How do Kalshi's Cy Young odds work?
Every row is a contract on Kalshi. Yes pays $1 if that candidate wins the award and No pays $1 if they do not, so the price of Yes in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent. Each contract is priced on its own, so the column can add up to a little more or less than 100%.