MLB Rookie of the Year Odds 2026
Kalshi's markets on the 2026 Rookie of the Year award, one for each league. Kevin McGonigle leads the AL at 99%, and Sal Stewart leads the NL at 93%.
2026 · Live marketUpdated today at 3:03 AM ET
Where these odds come from: Each percentage is the price of that candidate's Kalshi contract: the midpoint of the order book where it is tight, otherwise the last trade. A contract with a result shows 100% for Yes and 0% for No. Prices are not a Kalshi forecast.
American LeagueKevin McGonigle leads at 99%, ahead of Parker Messick at 3%, from 30 priced candidates. Top 15 of 30 priced candidates. 7d is the move in percentage points over the last seven days.
2026 AL Rookie of the Year odds
| Contender | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
Kevin McGonigle | 99% | +3pp | Yes 99¢ |
Parker Messick | 3% | +2pp | Yes 5¢ |
Braden Montgomery | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Brice Matthews | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Carson Williams | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Carter Jensen | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Chase DeLauter | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Colt Emerson | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Connelly Early | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Emmanuel Rodriguez | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Gage Jump | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
George Lombard Jr. | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Hagen Smith | <1% | −3pp | Yes 1¢ |
Josue Briceño | <1% | -- | Yes 1¢ |
Kazuma Okamoto | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
National LeagueSal Stewart leads at 93%, ahead of Carson Benge at 8%, from 30 priced candidates. Top 15 of 30 priced candidates. 7d is the move in percentage points over the last seven days.
2026 NL Rookie of the Year odds
| Contender | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|
Sal Stewart | 93% | +13pp | Yes 94¢ |
Carson Benge | 8% | −13pp | Yes 8¢ |
Aidan Miller | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Alex Freeland | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Andrew Painter | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Bryce Eldridge | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Bubba Chandler | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Charlie Condon | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Chase Petty | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Hunter Barco | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Jaxon Wiggins | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Jett Williams | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Jhostnyxon Garcia | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
JJ Wetherholt | <1% | −2pp | Yes 1¢ |
Joe Mack | <1% | −1pp | Yes 1¢ |
Method
How MLB Rookie of the Year odds work
The Jackie Robinson Rookie of the Year Award goes to each league's best first-year player. In each league, 30 members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, two from each of the league's cities, vote at the end of the regular season, before the postseason starts, and the winners are announced in November.
Every row is a contract on Kalshi. Yes pays $1 if that candidate wins the award and No pays $1 if they do not, so the price of Yes in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent. Each contract is priced on its own, so the column can add up to a little more or less than 100%.
The 7d column is how far that price has moved in the last seven days, in percentage points.
FAQ
MLB Rookie of the Year odds questions
Who is the favorite for the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year?
Kevin McGonigle leads at 99% on Kalshi, ahead of Parker Messick at 3%. That is the market price of the contract, not a Kalshi forecast.
Who is the favorite for the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year?
Sal Stewart leads at 93% on Kalshi, ahead of Carson Benge at 8%. That is the market price of the contract, not a Kalshi forecast.
Who won the 2025 AL Rookie of the Year?
Nick Kurtz, as Kalshi's settled 2025 market recorded it.
Who won the 2025 NL Rookie of the Year?
Drake Baldwin, as Kalshi's settled 2025 market recorded it.
How is the MLB Rookie of the Year decided?
The Jackie Robinson Rookie of the Year Award goes to each league's best first-year player. In each league, 30 members of the Baseball Writers' Association of America, two from each of the league's cities, vote at the end of the regular season, before the postseason starts, and the winners are announced in November.
How do Kalshi's MLB Rookie of the Year odds work?
Every row is a contract on Kalshi. Yes pays $1 if that candidate wins the award and No pays $1 if they do not, so the price of Yes in cents reads as the market's implied chance in percent. Each contract is priced on its own, so the column can add up to a little more or less than 100%.