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  5. MVP Odds

NBA MVP Odds 2026-27

Kalshi's market-implied odds for the 2026-27 NBA Most Valuable Player award. Victor Wembanyama leads at 30%, from a field of 53 priced contenders.
Live marketUpdated Tuesday, Sep 29, 2026 · 11:06 PM ET
Where these numbers come from: Each figure is the market price of that contender’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying.
MVP ODDS

2026-27 NBA MVP odds, best price first

Top 20 of 53 priced contenders.
2026-27 NBA MVP odds, best price first
ContenderOdds7dTrade
1Victor Wembanyama
30%−2ppYes 30¢
2Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
16%−1ppYes 16¢
3Luka Doncic
15%−5ppYes 15¢
4Nikola Jokić
14%+1ppYes 14¢
5Giannis Antetokounmpo
6%−1ppYes 7¢
6Anthony Edwards
6%−1ppYes 6¢
7Jayson Tatum
6%−1ppYes 6¢
8Jalen Brunson
4%−1ppYes 4¢
9Cade Cunningham
3%−1ppYes 3¢
10LeBron James
2%+1ppYes 2¢
11Jaylen Brown
1%−1ppYes 2¢
12Tyrese Maxey
1%−1ppYes 2¢
13Alperen Sengun
<1%−1ppYes 1¢
14Amen Thompson
<1%−1ppYes 1¢
15Anthony Davis
<1%−1ppYes 1¢
16Austin Reaves
<1%−1ppYes 1¢
17Chet Holmgren
<1%−1ppYes 1¢
18Cooper Flagg
<1%−1ppYes 1¢
19Deni Avdija
<1%−1ppYes 1¢
20Derrick White
<1%−1ppYes 1¢
METHOD

How these odds work

Every figure here is a live Kalshi market price. A contract on the 2026-27 NBA Most Valuable Player pays out at 100¢ if that contender wins the award and nothing if they do not, so its price in cents reads directly as the market's implied chance in percent.

The award is open to any player in the league, and the board does not normalise anything: each of the 53 contracts is priced independently, and the figures are not all the same kind of observation — a tight book shows its midpoint, a wide one the last trade. So the column can sum a little either side of 100%. The gap is what independent pricing leaves behind, not a fee and not the cost of buying the field.

53 contenders carry a price and the board shows the top 20. The 33 left off are longshots trading near a cent; every one of them is on the market page linked above.

FAQ

Questions

Who is favourite for the 2026-27 NBA MVP?
Victor Wembanyama leads at 30% on Kalshi. That is the market price of their contract, not a Kalshi forecast — it moves whenever traders disagree with it.
How are these NBA MVP odds calculated?
They are not calculated — they are prices. Each contender has a contract that pays 100¢ if they win, so what traders pay for it reads directly as an implied percentage. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
Who is eligible for the NBA MVP?
The award is open to any player in the league. Kalshi lists a separate contract for each contender the market is pricing, which is why the board runs to 53 names.
MORE

Related pages

NBA MVP WinnerNBA Rookie of the Year oddsNBA championship oddsNBA markets
NBA MVP market

NBA MVP Winner

Buy Yes if you think the team wins it. Buy No if you think it won't.
  • Victor Wembanyama30%
    Yes 30¢No 71¢
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander16%
    Yes 16¢No 85¢
  • Luka Doncic15%
    Yes 15¢No 86¢
  • Nikola Jokić14%
    Yes 14¢No 87¢
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo6%
    Yes 7¢No 95¢
    • Anthony Edwards6%
      Yes 6¢No 95¢
    • Jayson Tatum6%
      Yes 6¢No 95¢
    • Jalen Brunson4%
      Yes 4¢No 97¢