New England Patriots Playoff Odds & Chances 2026

Market outlook

New England Patriots odds

New England Patriots trades at 2% for 2027 NFL Champion, 5% for AFC Championship Winner and 43% for NFL Playoff Qualifiers.

Market outlook

New England Patriots markets

2027 NFL Champion

NE Patriots

46.8x

BUF Bills

7.25x

$152,767,939 vol32 markets

AFC Championship Winner

NE Patriots

18.8x

BUF Bills

4.31x

$9,962,768 vol16 markets

NFL Playoff Qualifiers

NE Patriots

2.19x

BUF Bills

1.08x

$2,363,943 vol32 markets

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New England Patriots Most Traded Players

TreVeyon Henderson leads New England Patriots player trading with 461.4K contracts traded across 59 markets.

1

TreVeyon HendersonRB · #32 · 461.4K contracts traded

2

Drake MayeQB · #10 · 238.4K contracts traded

3

Rhamondre StevensonRB · #38 · 226.2K contracts traded

4

Romeo DoubsWR · #87 · 190.7K contracts traded

5

Kyle WilliamsWR · #18 · 111.1K contracts traded

6

Mack HollinsWR · #13 · 103K contracts traded

New England Patriots Record and AFC East Standings

New England Patriots is 1-2 this season, third in the AFC East.

Rank	Team	Record	Pct	PF	PA
1	Buffalo Bills	3-0	100%	101	78
2	New York Jets	1-2	33%	64	61
3	New England Patriots	1-2	33%	36	51
4	Miami Dolphins	0-3	0%	36	86

Division marketNew England Patriots 14%0pt

Preseason expectation9+ wins 51%-1pt

New England Patriots Injury Report

21 New England Patriots players carry a game-status designation for Week 4.

Julian Hill · TEkneeIR

Jeremiah Webb · WRarmIR

Myles Montgomery · RBundisclosedIR

Marcus Bryant · Tleft ankleIR

Bryce Baringer · PundisclosedIR

Khalil Jacobs · LBundisclosedIR

A.J. Brown · WRhigh ankle sprainIR

Mike Onwenu · Tbroken right ankleIR

Dell Pettus · SankleIR

Quintayvious Hutchins · LBkneeIR

Greg Van Roten · GthighIR

Christian Barmore · DTshoulderOut

Reggie Gilliam · RBkneeQuestionable

Christian Gonzalez · CBshoulderOut

Morgan Moses · TfootQuestionable

Channing Canada · CBhamstringOut

Christian Elliss · LBchestQuestionable

Dre'Mont Jones · LBshoulderQuestionable

Eli Raridon · TEthighQuestionable

Brenden Schooler · Sback (NFI list)Out

Craig Woodson · SshoulderQuestionable

Market watchNE Patriots vs BUF Bills 26%0pt

New England Patriots Roster

New England Patriots currently lists 0 active players and 80 total players on its regular season roster.

Filter roster

No.	Player	Pos	Exp	College
77	Ben Brown	C	4	Mississippi
55	Jared Wilson	C	2	Georgia
64	Xavier Newman-Johnson	C	4	Baylor
7	Carlton Davis III	CB	8	Auburn
29	Channing Canada	CB	R	TCU
22	Charles Woods	CB	3	Southern Methodist
0	Christian Gonzalez	CB	4	Oregon
21	Karon Prunty	CB	R	Wake Forest
28	Kindle Vildor	CB	7	Georgia Southern
25	Marcus Jones	CB	5	Houston

New England Patriots Playoff Chances

New England Patriots is priced at a 43% chance to qualify for the 2026-27 playoffs, with a 14% chance to win the AFC East.

Playoffs43%

New England Patriots path to the postseasonNew England Patriots qualifies by winning the AFC East or earning one of the AFC's three wild-card spots.

AFC East: 14%

AFC champion: 5%

League champion: 2%

New England Patriots Season Stats

New England Patriots scored 36 points in 2026, 31th-most in the league, while allowing 51 points.

Points scored36#31 NFL

Points allowed51#6 NFL

Passing yards631

Passing yards allowed569

Rushing yards328

Rushing yards allowed325

Sacks7

Sacks allowed9

Season leader	Player	Total
Passing yards	Drake Maye	585
Rushing yards	Rhamondre Stevenson	116
Receiving yards	Mack Hollins	156
Sacks	Elijah Ponder	1.5
Tackles	Robert Spillane	21

2026 market baseline9+ wins · 51%The market currently gives New England Patriots a 51% chance to reach at least 9 wins.

New England Patriots 2026 Schedule

New England Patriots plays at Buffalo Bills on Oct 4 next.

Week	Date	Opponent	Time (ET)
4	Oct 4	@ Buffalo Bills	1:00 PM
5	Oct 11	vs Las Vegas Raiders	1:00 PM
6	Oct 18	vs New York Jets	1:00 PM
7	Oct 22	@ Chicago Bears	8:15 PM
8	Nov 1	@ Miami Dolphins	4:25 PM
9	Nov 8	vs Green Bay Packers	4:25 PM
10	Nov 15	vs Detroit Lions (neutral)	9:30 AM
12	Nov 29	@ Los Angeles Chargers	8:20 PM

New England Patriots matchups

Head-to-head pages for every New England Patriots rivalry — division opponents first, then the rest of the league.

All NFL matchups

Patriots Starting Quarterback

Drake Maye is listed first on the New England regular season depth chart, ahead of Tommy DeVito and Behren Morton.

QB

StarterDrake MayeQuarterback · Depth 1

Quarterback room

1Drake Maye

2Tommy DeVito

3Behren Morton

Drake Maye markets

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Patriots Depth Chart

Drake Maye is listed as New England’s starting quarterback on the current regular season depth chart.

Position	Starter	Second	Third+
QB	Drake Maye	Tommy DeVito	Behren Morton
RB	Rhamondre Stevenson	TreVeyon Henderson	Corey Kiner
FB	Reggie Gilliam	—	—
WR1	Romeo Doubs	DeMario Douglas	Kyle Williams
WR2	Mack Hollins	Efton Chism III	—
TE	Hunter Henry	Eli Raridon	Tanner Arkin·Cameron Latu

New England Patriots Last Game

New England Patriots lost 6-35 to the Jacksonville Jaguars in its most recent regular-season game on Sep 27, 2026.

New England Patriots

6Final35

Jacksonville Jaguars

Recent form

L6-35@ JAX

W20-3vs PIT

L10-13@ SEA

New England Patriots 2026 outlook

The New England Patriots play in the AFC East at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, Massachusetts, between Boston and Providence. Founded in 1960 as the Boston Patriots, the franchise spent four decades without a title and then won six Super Bowls in eighteen seasons under Bill Belichick and Tom Brady, tying Pittsburgh for the most in league history. New England has reached twelve Super Bowls, more than any other team, most recently Super Bowl LX after the 2025 season. Division games against the Buffalo Bills, Miami Dolphins and New York Jets are on the schedule twice a year, and the Patriots have won the AFC East more often than the rest of the division combined.This page keeps the Patriots' roster, weekly injury report, next game and AFC East standings in one place, and prices them. The outlook panel above shows the market-implied probability that New England wins the division, reaches the playoffs and wins the Super Bowl, with each market's latest move. Prices come from traders on Kalshi and update continuously.

Frequently asked questions

What are the Patriots' Super Bowl odds?Kalshi's Super Bowl market prices New England at 2%, unchanged on its most recent move (updated Oct 3). Contracts settle to $1 if the outcome happens, so the price in cents is the market-implied probability. New England has twelve Super Bowl appearances, a league record, and six wins. It reached Super Bowl LX after the 2025 season, losing to Seattle.

How many Super Bowls have the Patriots won?Six, tied with Pittsburgh for the most of any franchise: Super Bowls XXXVI, XXXVIII and XXXIX after the 2001, 2003 and 2004 seasons, then XLIX, LI and LIII after 2014, 2016 and 2018. New England has also lost six, including Super Bowl LX to the Seattle Seahawks after the 2025 season. Twelve appearances is a league record. The franchise history section below lists the titles.

What are the Patriots' playoff chances?The market puts New England's playoff probability at 43% and its AFC East probability at 14% (updated Oct 3). The division title is the more valuable of the two because it carries a home playoff game, and it is the market most sensitive to head-to-head results inside the AFC East. The schedule section below shows the games left.

New England Patriots

New England Patriots next games

New England Patriots odds

New England Patriots markets

2027 NFL Champion

AFC Championship Winner

NFL Playoff Qualifiers

New England Patriots Most Traded Players

New England Patriots Record and AFC East Standings

New England Patriots Injury Report

New England Patriots Roster

New England Patriots Playoff Chances

New England Patriots Season Stats

New England Patriots 2026 Schedule

New England Patriots matchups

Patriots Starting Quarterback

Drake Maye markets

Patriots Depth Chart

New England Patriots Last Game

New England Patriots 2026 outlook

Frequently asked questions