2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?National races
03
Los Angeles Mayor winner?Other-state races · California
04
Which party will win the U.S. House?National races
05
South Carolina Senate winner? (Party)Other-state races · South Carolina
National outcomes includedWeek ranking
Reading the map
Three perspectives
Each state takes the color of its most traded market: a national outcome, a race in the state itself, or a race in another state. The Senate, House and Governor views rank whole races instead, combining each race’s markets, such as party, candidate and margin of victory.
Time periods
Week covers the seven days before the snapshot, and All time covers trading since the midterm markets opened. This is a snapshot taken Oct 20, 2026; it does not update in real time.
Activity, not a forecast
Rankings and colors are based on contracts traded by individual accounts, grouped by the state on the account, counting each trade once. Institutional accounts and block trades are excluded, and quantities are not shown. States with too little activity in a view show Insufficient data. Trading activity does not indicate political support.
