MARKETS PERPS LIVE38 SOCIAL

Cash

Portfolio

Search

Trending Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Portfolio

Search

Product

Perpetual Futures Markets Incentive program Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Trending Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Economic Indicators Odds & Predictions 2026

Economics

Jobs numbers in November 2025?

Above 0

Yes

Above -100,000

Yes

$637,808 vol10 markets

Unemployment in November 2025?

Above 4.4%

Yes

Above 4.5%

Yes

$600,492 vol10 markets

How high will the inflation level get in 2025?

At least 3%

Yes

At least 4%

No

$548,519 vol4 markets

How much will core PCE increase in September 2025?

Above 0.1%

Yes

Above 0.0%

Yes

$11,124 vol5 markets

December 2025 CPI Combo: CPI & CPI (YoY)

CPI: Above -0.1%, YOYCPI: Above 2.4%

Yes

CPI: Above 0.1%, YOYCPI: Above 2.9%

No

$262,789 vol5 markets

ADP employment change in December 2025?

Above 25000

Yes

Above -25000

Yes

$91,697 vol7 markets

How many companies will go bankrupt in 2025?

Above 694

Yes

Above 500

Yes

$7,789 vol3 markets

Elections

November 2025 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP

Unemployment rate (U3): 4.5%, Non-farm payroll growth: 50-75k

No

Unemployment rate (U3): 4.4%, Non-farm payroll growth: 100-125k

No

$339,493 vol5 markets

December 2025 Employment Combo: U3 & NFP

U3: >4.6%, NFP: <50k

No

U3: 4.5%, NFP: 50-75k

No

$113,588 vol14 markets

Economic Indicators Odds & Predictions