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Local Government Odds & Predictions 2026

Elections

Will there be a recall election for Karen Bass in 2025?

Yes

No

$100,614 vol1 market

Who will be the next New York City Council Speaker?

Julie Menin

Yes

Crystal Hudson

No

$74,313 vol5 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Atlanta?

Andre Dickens

Andre Dickens

Andre Dickens

Yes

Eddie Meredith

Eddie Meredith

Eddie Meredith

No

$23,959 vol5 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Cincinnati?

Aftab Pureval

Aftab Pureval

Aftab Pureval

Yes

Cory Bowman

Cory Bowman

Cory Bowman

No

$1,502 vol2 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Cleveland?

Justin Bibb

Justin Bibb

Justin Bibb

Yes

Laverne Gore

Laverne Gore

Laverne Gore

No

$1,820 vol2 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Detroit?

Mary Sheffield

Mary Sheffield

Mary Sheffield

Yes

Solomon Kinloch Jr.

Solomon Kinloch Jr.

Solomon Kinloch Jr.

No

$26,716 vol13 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Pittsburgh?

Corey O'Connor

Corey O'Connor

Corey O'Connor

Yes

Tony Moreno

Tony Moreno

Tony Moreno

No

$3,487 vol2 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Seattle?

Katie Wilson

Katie Wilson

Katie Wilson

Yes

Bruce Harrell

Bruce Harrell

Bruce Harrell

No

$2,600,292 vol9 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Charlotte?

Democratic

Democratic

Democratic

Yes

Republican

Republican

Republican

No

$3,345 vol2 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Boston?

Michelle Wu

Michelle Wu

Michelle Wu

Yes

Josh Kraft

Josh Kraft

Josh Kraft

No

$59,824 vol7 markets

Who will win the Mayor election in Minneapolis?

Jacob Frey

Jacob Frey

Jacob Frey

Yes

Omar Fateh

Omar Fateh

Omar Fateh

No

$1,504,148 vol5 markets

Will progressive mayors sweep this year?

Yes

No

$316,923 vol1 market

What % of the vote will Cuomo get in the NYC mayoral election?

Above 40%

Above 40%

Above 40%

Yes

35% - 40%

35% - 40%

35% - 40%

No

$1,858,900 vol7 markets

What % of the vote will Sliwa get in the NYC mayoral election?

5% - 9.99%

5% - 9.99%

5% - 9.99%

Yes

Below 5%

Below 5%

Below 5%

No

$1,721,261 vol6 markets

What % of the vote will Mamdani get in the NYC mayoral election?

50% - 59.99%

50% - 59.99%

50% - 59.99%

Yes

40% - 49.99%

40% - 49.99%

40% - 49.99%

No

$5,511,432 vol6 markets

Politics

Who will win the Bucharest mayoral election?

Ciprian Ciucu

Yes

Daniel Baluta

No

$170,763 vol13 markets

Will Zohran Mamdani visit Gracie Mansion before Feb 1, 2026?

Yes

No

$28,210 vol1 market

Mentions

What will Mamdani say during his next announcement?

Safe / Safer / Safety

Yes

New Era

Yes

$618,264 vol12 markets

Local Government Odds & Predictions