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Trending Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Policy watchers, traders, and analysts can explore prediction markets on Portugal's national election outcomes, government coalition formations, and key policy decisions. Compare probabilities across parliamentary developments and political stability signals to forecast the nation's future trajectory and leadership shifts.

Who will win the 1st round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election?

António José Seguro

Yes

João Cotrim Figueiredo

No

$357,171 vol9 markets

Who will finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election?

André Ventura

Yes

João Cotrim Figueiredo

No

$41,561 vol7 markets

Who will win over 18% of the vote in the 1st round of the Portuguese presidential election?

André Ventura

Yes

António José Seguro

Yes

$23,422 vol5 markets

What % of the vote will André Ventura receive in the first round?

21% - 23.99%

Yes

24% - 26.99%

No

$16,035 vol7 markets

Margin of victory in the 1st round of the Portuguese presidential election?

6 to 8%

Yes

8 to 10%

No

$14,635 vol7 markets

What % of the vote will António José Seguro receive in the first round?

28% or more

Yes

22% - 22.99%

No

$3,365 vol10 markets

Portuguese Politics Odds & Predictions 2026

Portuguese Politics Odds & Predictions