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SpaceX Prediction Markets & Space Forecasts | Kalshi

Aerospace analysts and tech traders can explore prediction markets on SpaceX launch cadence, Starship milestones, and Starlink targets. Compare probabilities and signals across forecasts to track the odds behind the world's most ambitious and closely watched private space program.

Politics

Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime?

Yes

9.41x

No

1.09x

$54,183 vol1 market

Will Trump nationalize SpaceX?

Before Jan 2027

18.8x

Before Jul 2026

23.4x

$34,095 vol3 markets

Will Trump punish SpaceX?

Yes

10.4x

No

1.05x

$22,580 vol3 markets

Will Elon Musk create a new political party this year?

Yes

No

$1,655,431 vol1 market

Will Trump meet Elon again this year?

Yes

No

$243,524 vol1 market

Elon Musk's security clearance revoked this year?

Yes

No

$69,807 vol1 market

Will Elon Musk be deported in 2025?

Yes

No

$65,432 vol1 market

Will Elon Musk Rejoin the Trump Administration this year?

Yes

No

$61,969 vol1 market

Companies

When will SpaceX officially announce an IPO?

Before Jul 1, 2026

1.48x

Before Sep 1, 2026

1.23x

$1,023,198 vol22 markets

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

OpenAI

OpenAI

1.83x

Anthropic

Anthropic

2.29x

$975,392 vol28 markets

SpaceX Starship 12th launch?

Before May

1.70x

Before June

1.10x

$846,396 vol6 markets

Which bank will take SpaceX public?

JPMorgan Chase

1.13x

Bank of America

1.12x

$658,073 vol5 markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in March?

Above 15

2.29x

Above 14

1.34x

$187,364 vol7 markets

When will Starlink officially announce an IPO?

Before Jun 30, 2027

6.74x

Before Oct 1, 2026

9.41x

$108,758 vol22 markets

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

Yes

4.73x

No

1.16x

$33,286 vol1 market

Tech & Science

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes

3.18x

No

1.36x

$53,739 vol1 market

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

Before April

5.90x

Before May

1.15x

$47,729 vol6 markets

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Yes

1.67x

No

2.14x

$44,441 vol1 market

Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?

Yes

2.01x

No

1.70x

$37,967 vol1 market

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes

1.50x

No

2.66x

$29,311 vol1 market

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?

Yes

3.96x

No

1.23x

$10,328 vol1 market

How many Starship launches will reach space in 2025?

4 to 6

Yes

3 or below

No

$91,815 vol9 markets

Economics

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

More than $1.2 trillion

1.97x

More than $1.3 trillion

2.46x

$98,006 vol7 markets

Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?

Sergey Brin

2.24x

Jeff Bezos

2.24x

$19,984 vol9 markets

Keyword Image

SpaceX Prediction Markets