Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidterms

Elections

PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive82AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE82

Brazil

Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
1.20x
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
4.73x
$12,220,933 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 3-6%
1.79x
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
Flávio Bolsonaro, 0-3%
3.52x
$235,580 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent

At least 52%
2.01x
At least 52.5%
2.52x
$103,920 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula vote percent

At least 48%
1.67x
At least 49%
2.73x
$65,246 vol

Rio Grande do Norte Governor winner?

Allyson
Allyson
Allyson
1.52x
Cadu de Lula
Cadu de Lula
Cadu de Lula
2.73x
$45,894 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: which states will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Amazonas
Amazonas
Amazonas
2.98x
Amapá
Amapá
Amapá
1.40x
$97,366 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%
1.67x
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥4%
2.34x
$42,568 vol

Tocantins: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥10%
2.05x
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥8%
1.40x
$30,821 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: who will win the vote abroad?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.23x
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
3.40x
$23,174 vol

Amazonas Governor winner?

Omar Aziz
Omar Aziz
Omar Aziz
1.10x
Professora Maria do Carmo
Professora Maria do Carmo
Professora Maria do Carmo
9.41x
$50,475 vol

Tocantins Governor winner?

Vicentinho Júnior
Vicentinho Júnior
Vicentinho Júnior
1.10x
Professora Dorinha
Professora Dorinha
Professora Dorinha
11.7x
$13,091 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: Lula margin of victory

Lula da Silva, ≥1%
6.29x
Lula da Silva, ≥3%
11.7x
$45,610 vol

Espírito Santo Governor winner?

Lorenzo Pazolini
Lorenzo Pazolini
Lorenzo Pazolini
1.09x
Ricardo Ferraço
Ricardo Ferraço
Ricardo Ferraço
9.41x
$13,991 vol

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats
2.66x
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Republicans
3.52x
$7,882 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: voter turnout

At least 125,000,000
--
At least 124,500,000
--
$19,089 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: which countries will Flávio Bolsonaro win?

Costa Rica
Costa Rica
Costa Rica
1.93x
Venezuela
Venezuela
Venezuela
1.52x
$9,923 vol

Brazil presidential runoff: who will win São Paulo?

Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro
--
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
93.5x
$35,768 vol

Brazil Federal District Governor winner?

Celina Leão
Celina Leão
Celina Leão
--
Leandro Grass
Leandro Grass
Leandro Grass
31.2x
$3,135 vol

Minas Gerais: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory (runoff)

Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
1.55x
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥8%
2.34x
$11,028 vol

Brazil Gubernatorial Elections: Most Governorships Won

PL
PL
PL
1.04x
FE Brasil
FE Brasil
FE Brasil
46.8x
$9,694 vol