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Elections

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Senate

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
2.01x
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
2.59x
$12,829,829 vol4 markets
Senate

Blue tsunami this year?

Yes
2.29x
No
1.65x
$428,477 vol1 market
Senate

Blue wave this year?

Yes
1.31x
No
3.66x
$580,109 vol1 market
Senate

Red wave this year?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.05x
$13,689 vol1 market
Senate

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
1.97x
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
2.73x
$53,063 vol4 markets
Senate

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
1.62x
Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win
2.40x
$72,633 vol4 markets
House

2026: Trump’s bad year?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.04x
$254,623 vol1 market
Mixed Combos

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?

At least 1
4.73x
At least 3
6.74x
$21,786 vol10 markets
House

2026: Trump’s dream year?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.03x
$570,995 vol1 market
Senate

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)

Yes
1.76x
No
2.05x
$19,425 vol1 market
Senate

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Republicans sweep
1.42x
Democrats sweep
5.25x
$19,589 vol4 markets
Senate

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
1.70x
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
9.41x
$42,390 vol4 markets
Mixed Combos

Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?

Yes
2.52x
No
1.40x
$7,768 vol1 market
US Elections

Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?

Yes
1.50x
No
2.29x
$31 vol1 market
Senate

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
2.01x
Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win
2.89x
$10,553 vol4 markets
Senate

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Republican Governor, Democratic Senator
1.28x
Republicans sweep
4.73x
$60,798 vol4 markets
Senate

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
1.10x
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
11.7x
$36,485 vol4 markets
Senate

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep
1.40x
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
2.89x
$32,054 vol4 markets
Senate

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)

At least 4
1.52x
At least 5
2.19x
$354 vol8 markets
Senate

How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?

3
3.40x
5
3.52x
$3,220 vol7 markets
US Elections

Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?

Commissioner of Labor
1.08x
Governor
1.08x
$40,717 vol9 markets
California

LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo

Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
1.46x
Nithya Raman and Xavier Becerra
2.52x
$47,105 vol4 markets
Senate

Iowa Blue Wave Combo

Yes
3.66x
No
1.23x
$17,063 vol1 market