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Elections

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Mayor

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Karen Bass
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
1.52x
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
2.66x
$93,685,754 vol2 markets
Other US Elections

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

Bo French
1.46x
Jon Rosenthal
2.52x
$17,844 vol2 markets
Senate

Blue tsunami this year?

Yes
2.29x
No
1.62x
$448,270 vol1 market
Senate

Blue wave this year?

Yes
1.29x
No
3.80x
$590,349 vol1 market
Mixed Combos

How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?

At least 1
3.96x
At least 3
6.29x
$22,479 vol10 markets
US Elections

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Yes
2.98x
No
1.42x
$877,488 vol1 market
Other US Elections

Wisconsin State Senate winner?

Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.28x
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
3.18x
$2,044 vol2 markets
Senate

Iowa Blue Wave Combo

Yes
3.40x
No
1.29x
$18,656 vol1 market
Other US Elections

Pennsylvania State Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
1.70x
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
2.09x
$1,791 vol2 markets
US Elections

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)

Karen Bass, ≥2%
1.86x
Karen Bass, ≥4%
2.24x
$4,103 vol5 markets
Referendums

Will Minnesota vote to increase school-fund distributions?

Yes
1.09x
No
7.85x
$2,936 vol1 market
Referendums

Which ballot measures will pass in South Dakota?

Amendment I
3.96x
Amendment K
1.18x
$3,139 vol4 markets
Referendums

Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii?

Increase Time for Senate to Act on Judicial Appointments Amendment
1.23x
Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment
1.18x
$200 vol2 markets
Referendums

Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?

Ballot Measure 2
2.46x
Ballot Measure 3
1.09x
$10,323 vol2 markets
Other US Elections

Providence Mayor winner?

David Morales
1.01x
Brett Smiley
46.8x
$174,518 vol4 markets
Referendums

Will Kentucky vote to limit gubernatorial election-period pardons?

Yes
1.08x
No
8.56x
$5,814 vol1 market
Secretary of State

Wisconsin Secretary of State winner?

JoCasta Zamarripa
JoCasta Zamarripa
JoCasta Zamarripa
1.25x
Jay Schroeder
Jay Schroeder
Jay Schroeder
5.25x
$2,707 vol2 markets
Attorney General

Texas Attorney General winner?

 Mayes Middleton
 Mayes Middleton
Mayes Middleton
1.10x
Nathan Johnson
Nathan Johnson
Nathan Johnson
6.74x
$10,857 vol2 markets
Secretary of State

Ohio Secretary of State winner?

Robert Sprague
Robert Sprague
Robert Sprague
1.52x
Allison Russo
Allison Russo
Allison Russo
2.73x
$5,881 vol2 markets
US Elections

Georgia Lieutenant Governor winner?

Josh McLaurin
Josh McLaurin
Josh McLaurin
1.73x
Greg Dolezal
Greg Dolezal
Greg Dolezal
1.90x
$2,399 vol2 markets
Referendums

Will Florida’s property tax amendment pass?

Yes
2.05x
No
1.67x
$22,740 vol1 market
Other US Elections

Arizona State Senate winner?

Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
1.46x
Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
2.52x
$3,387 vol2 markets
Senate

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)

Yes
1.76x
No
1.93x
$19,603 vol1 market
Attorney General

Minnesota Attorney General winner?

Keith Ellison
Keith Ellison
Keith Ellison
1.23x
Ronald J. Schutz
Ronald J. Schutz
Ronald J. Schutz
4.31x
$16,639 vol2 markets