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Elections

North Carolina State Senate winner?

Republican party

1.06x

Democratic party

18.8x

$217,983 vol

Which ballot measures will pass in California?

Proposition 4

2.52x

Proposition 42

1.10x

$102,860 vol

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (No)

No, ≥7%

4.13x

No, ≥4%

1.04x

$117,209 vol

Blue wave this year?

Yes

1.02x

No

46.8x

$13,422,226 vol

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

Yes

1.01x

No

46.8x

$1,669,463 vol

Blue tsunami this year?

Yes

1.02x

No

46.8x

$3,572,754 vol

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

Nithya Raman, ≥10%

5.90x

Nithya Raman, ≥12%

13.4x

$122,173 vol

New York City mayoral election winner?

Zohran Mamdani

1.20x

Eric Adams

18.8x

$21,980 vol

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Yes

93.5x

No

1.01x

$4,623,009 vol

Alaska State House winner?

Democratic party

1.44x

Republican party

5.90x

$19,742 vol

Georgia State House winner?

Democratic party

1.03x

Republican party

31.2x

$61,450 vol

Alaska State Senate winner?

Republican party

1.02x

Democratic party

46.8x

$74,561 vol

Where will Democrats win state legislative supermajorities this year?

Vermont Senate

1.01x

New York Assembly

1.02x

$35,720 vol

How many Elon-backed non-incumbents will win seats in Congress this year?

At least 3

1.07x

At least 5

1.05x

$27,437 vol

Which ballot measures will pass in Arizona?

Proposition 320

11.7x

Proposition 141

--

$82,743 vol

California Proposition 40 election margin of victory? (Yes)

Yes, ≥1%

31.2x

Yes, ≥13%

46.8x

$48,336 vol

Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities this year?

Florida Senate

46.8x

Utah Senate

1.02x

$47,065 vol

Ohio Attorney General winner?

John Kulewicz

1.02x

Keith Faber

93.5x

$59,470 vol

Midterms: Blue trickle?

Yes

1.01x

No

46.8x

$249,464 vol

Which ballot measures will pass in Alaska?

Yes

8.56x

No

1.05x

$23,201 vol

Will Mamdani run for re-election?

Yes

1.13x

No

4.98x

$3,036 vol

California State Senate District 26 election winner

Sara Hernandez

1.01x

Claudia Agraz

93.5x

$14,783 vol

How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win this year?

Yes

--

No

15.6x

$43,727 vol

Which ballot measures will pass in Washington?

Yes

4.73x

No

1.09x

$16,768 vol