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  1. US Elections

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

100
Begins in 14 days · Nov 3
Chance
Cotton, 14+ pts
57%
▲ 11

Cotton, 14+ pts

57%
▲ 11
Cotton, 16+ pts
41%
▲ 5

Cotton, 16+ pts

41%
▲ 5
Cotton, 18+ pts
27%

Cotton, 18+ pts

27%
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Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Cotton, 2+ pts

Cotton, 2+ pts

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Tom CottonR50.4%
    50.4%
    $7M
    9.3%
    $7M raised·9.3% small donors
  • Hallie ShoffnerD38.7%
    38.7%
    $3.7M
    33%
    $3.7M raised·33% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +30.6%2020R +27.6%