Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive98AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE98
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

New York’s 22nd District margin of victory

100
Begins in 14 days · Nov 3
Chance
Mannion, 17+ pts
56%

Mannion, 17+ pts

56%
Mannion, 20+ pts
50%

Mannion, 20+ pts

50%
Mannion, 23+ pts
40%

Mannion, 23+ pts

40%
6 more
People are also trading
Series Image
NY-22 House winner?
Series Image
New York 22 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
NY-22 House election: John Mannion vote percent
Series Image
NY-22 House election: Kailee Tkacz Buller vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
New York Governor winner?
Series Image
Ohio Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?
New York’s 22nd District margin of victory
Mannion, 5+ pts

Mannion, 5+ pts

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John MannionD
    $3.1M
    12%
    $3.1M raised·12% small donors
  • Kailee Tkacz BullerR
    $429K
    5.4%
    $429K raised·5.4% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024D +7.7%2020D +11.4%