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  1. Trump

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Chance
Before 2027
3.2%
▲ 0.9

Before 2027

3.2%
▲ 0.9
Before May 15, 2026
No

Before May 15, 2026

No
Before Jun 1, 2026
No

Before Jun 1, 2026

No
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Chair or Governor?

Before 2027

Odds
6% chance
Max payout
Jan 1, 2027
$0
$409,515 vol
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