Series Image

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. nominated to the Cabinet?

9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
%
chance
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
OctNovDecDecApr0%25%50%75%100%
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before Feb 1, 2025 (+0)
$3,492,893vol

Yes


Rules summary
If Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is nominated to the Cabinet before Feb 1, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Office of the Presidency.
Announcements made by a President-elect will only be effective once they are inaugurated as President. To be clear, if the President appoints (or says he will appoint) the individual to a cabinet-level position, even if that position does not require Senate confirmation, then the market resolves to Yes. For example, the Chief of Staff to the White House is typically a cabinet-level position that does not require Senate confirmation. Expiration value: Yes

Timeline and payout