Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons 2026? Odds & Predictions
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
$50,192 vol
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
If any of xAI, DeepMind, Anthropic, OpenAI pause any AI research training or development for safety reasons before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 19, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXAIPAUSE
EventKXAIPAUSE-27
MarketKXAIPAUSE-27
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.